Both power connections, the 330 kV backup, and 750 kV primary, have been disconnected due to Russia's missile attack.
Reactors 5 and 6 were safely brought to a cold shutdown, which cut off the heat and hot water supply to Enerhodar. The facility is currently powered by 18 emergency diesel generators. Energoatom reports there is a ten-day supply of diesel fuel at the station.
It woul...
2023-03-09 05:36:10 +0000 UTC
View Post
Russia launched a missile attack on Ukraine so today's report will be combat only. It appears that there was extensive use of misinformation and disinformation to activate automated attack reporting bots on Telegram and Twitter, decoys, balloons, and electronic warfare.
As of this posting, we have no evidence that any Kalibr missiles were launched by the Black Sea Fleet. We can tentativel...
2023-03-09 03:10:53 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 320 and is 54 pages.
What's the big story? Bakhmut stands, and Ukrainian forces push Russian troops back south of Ivanske.
The second story? Russia's eroding influence on the world stage is exposed in Geo...
2023-03-08 12:01:31 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 319 and is 59 pages.
What's the big story? Bakhmut stands, and an executed Ukrainian POW has become a new symbol of resistance.
The second story? Is Russia's wide-scale late winter offensive coming ...
2023-03-07 12:35:26 +0000 UTC
View Post
A video has emerged of a single Ukrainian POW, smoking a cigarette and standing in what appears to be a hastily dug and inadequately shallow grave, shouting, "Slava Ukrani," before being executed in a hail of gunfire. His Russian executioners call him a "bitch."
We will include a link to the unedited video in the Situation Report. Ukrainian officials have verified the authenticity of the ...
2023-03-06 22:05:49 +0000 UTC
View Post
Our assessment from March 3 continues to age well. There is strong evidence that Ukrainian forces withdrew from the Zabakhmutka District to the west bank of the Bakhmutkova River. The map will be updated shortly.
In our assessment, this is one of the last moves on the Bakhmut chessboard for Ukrainian forces. If Russian troops breach the river and enter the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine will ...
2023-03-06 21:39:30 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
Tis is report 318 and is 41 pages.
The big story? Bakhmut holds.
The second story? The in fighting between PMC Wagner and the Russian Ministry of Defense has exploded.
2023-03-06 09:33:13 +0000 UTC
View Post
No changes in Bakhmut and reports that the T-506 Ground Line of Communication (GLOC) is severed are untrue. It's definitely spicy but still usable. There have been no appreciable changes in territorial control.
Is it because Ukraine keeps bringing in fresh troops?
Is it because Russia is exhausting its combat potential?
Is it because mud is slowing down offensive operations?
2023-03-05 22:04:25 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 317 and is 68 pages. Today's SITREP is a full report and a catch-up for our non-combat sections - enjoy 7,175 words. Improving weather has enabled us to include satellite images and leverage NASA FIRMS data. We were ...
2023-03-05 12:32:26 +0000 UTC
View Post
...at least at the time we published today's SITREP.
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 316 and is 49 pages - combat only.
What's the big story? A lot of fog of war is clouding the situation in Bakhmut. We talked to Ukrainian contacts and journalis...
2023-03-04 12:43:36 +0000 UTC
View Post
To quote the Green Mile, "I'm tired, boss. Dog tired."
If you follow our Twitter or TikTok, you know there was a superhuman effort made to accurately determine who was behind the Bryansk border raids, their connections to Ukraine and Russia, and the likely motivation.
If Russian President Vladimir Putin unintentionally declared the incident a "terrorist attack," it turned out he was...
2023-03-03 02:51:02 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 315 and is 43 pages - combat only.
What's the big story? Russia accused Ukraine of launching two cross-border attacks on villages in the Bryansk federal district. On the surface, it looks like this was a staged event, b...
2023-03-02 13:50:03 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 315 and is 45 pages - combat only.
What's the big story? The situation in Bakhmut is becoming critical.
The second story? Multiple drone strikes across Russia with Ukraine saying, "we didn't do it."
The Malc...
2023-03-01 11:30:53 +0000 UTC
View Post
The Economist reported that the Russian defense company UralVagonZavod is capable of producing only 20 new tanks a month due to shortages of critical parts and labor. UralVagonZavod is refurbishing an additional 8 to 10 tanks monthly, with another defense contractor refurbishing 15 to 20. Eliminating the number of tanks Russia has visually confirmed to have captured since February 24, 2022, Rus...
2023-02-28 23:18:57 +0000 UTC
View Post
Black Sea Fleet has 18 vessels on patrol, including five missile carriers - 2 Kilo-class submarines and 3 frigates. There is the potential capability to launch 32 Kalibr cruise missiles.
It is now March 1 in Ukraine, officially marking the 3rd month in a row where the Black Sea Fleet launched 25ish cruise missiles in a month (December, January, February). The lower number is despite the f...
2023-02-28 22:26:05 +0000 UTC
View Post
We've seen the reports of up to a dozen drone strikes across Russia, some as close as 95 kilometers from Moscow. Ukraine has not confirmed responsibility and Russian state media is declaring, yes there were drones, but it was no big deal.
The truth matters and we are committed to be right instead of first. The pictures and videos we've seen are showing the drones involved appear to be rec...
2023-02-28 21:30:30 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 314 and is 59 pages.
What's the big story? Bakhmut is Ukraine - for now.
The second story? If you thought that the Kremlin and PMC Wagner had found peace, you are very wrong.
The Malcontent News Russia Ukrai...
2023-02-28 12:12:32 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 313 and is 52 pages.
What's the big story? Bakhmut still holds as the situation continues to deteriorate.
The second story? There was a lot of fighting from Kharkiv to the Zaporizhia-Donetsk administrative border,...
2023-02-27 11:25:38 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 312 and is 40 pages.
What's the big story? Russian troops did not enter Ivanivske, and there was no big attack across the H-504 Highway.
The second story? Russian artillery activity increased, but there continued ...
2023-02-26 09:28:52 +0000 UTC
View Post
Tomorrow's podcast will be a year in review. The focus will be the ten biggest failures of the Russian military from February 24, 2022, to February 23, 2023. While a similar list for Ukraine is harder to fill (there are fewer choices, but you can make a list of ten), the Russian list has many more choices.
Our picks, in what is "my order" are:
10) Drone attack on Engel-2 Air...
2023-02-26 00:05:27 +0000 UTC
View Post
Russian troops supported by PMC Wagner launched a large-scale offensive operation south of Ivanivske. They broke through Ukrainian defenses with reports of heavy fighting in the suburb of Bakhmut on the T-504 Highway.
Fighting is described as very intense.
To the north, Ukraine blew up a dam north of Krasna Hora (roughly) to slow down the Russian advance into Bakhmut itself.
2023-02-25 22:43:21 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 311 and is 53 pages.
What's the big story? No big offensive, no missile attacks, no drone attacks, no fiery Kremlin speeches, no "look how good we are at war" from Moscow.
The second story? Russia's has no meaning...
2023-02-25 12:12:47 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 310 and is 59 pages.
What's the big story? At the moment, it is what didn't happen. So far - nothing significant has happened on the battlefield.
The second story? Russian forces are increasingly switching to a de...
2023-02-24 12:22:05 +0000 UTC
View Post
The heading speaks for itself.
2023-02-23 23:52:23 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 309 and is 56 pages.
As you read this, Russia and Ukraine have been at total war for a year. We hope that everyone can take a moment today to reflect on the enormity of the last year and the tens of thousands who have d...
2023-02-23 12:29:33 +0000 UTC
View Post
We are in debate on whether to share the picture in today's SITREP, and we caution you to be careful what you search for. Yevgeny Prigozhin is continuing to escalate his war of words with the Kremlin.
About 90 minutes ago, Prigozhin released a picture that shows between 80 to 100 dead Wagner mercenaries stacked in the snow, which he claims represents one day of combat losses just on the e...
2023-02-22 15:57:43 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 308 and is 53 pages.
What's the big story? Ukraine continues to maintain defense lines - mostly. Russia's large-scale offensive is not living up to the hype.
The second story? The bigger moves are on the diplomati...
2023-02-22 14:33:51 +0000 UTC
View Post
Beyond the desire to get two hours of my life back, I watched Putin's speech in real-time. I started watching on RT but became concerned I couldn't trust the translation, so I moved to the BBC. The BBC lost translation a couple of times (the team speculated the translator had to go outside and release a couple of primal screams), so I switched to Sky News. I must confess that by the 90-minute m...
2023-02-21 20:29:49 +0000 UTC
View Post
Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment.
This is Report 307 and is 48 pages.
What's the big story? The bigger news is what didn't happen - there wasn't a lot of fighting today.
The second story? Putin's speech was a nothing burger with a side order of ice cubes (we've ...
2023-02-21 10:32:26 +0000 UTC
View Post
Many people on both sides of the front ask themselves, where is the big Russian offensive? There was supposed to be a big Russian offensive!
Russia has massed 300K, 350K, and even 500K troops trained not for eight days but for eight weeks. The supply and logistics issues have been worked out. The mobiks, n...
2023-02-20 22:13:16 +0000 UTC
View Post
