The Long Investor

$TSLA TOP 20

This is the best case scenario for $TSLA here I believe, a small pull back for subwave 4 to in between $265 - $257 and holding, then going higher to complete Subwave 5 at the 2.618 Fib at $315, where the 50 Day MA is moving down to now.

So far there is only 3 waves and we know that we need to see 5 waves to confirm an impulse wave, 3 waves is not sufficient as this would be a corrective w...

$BIDU

Until $BIDU is ready to breakout we wait.

Price is down -3% in the PM now and this is after a slight test of resistance yesterday at the trend line so I am watching for a retest of the 0.5 Fib at $94.40 or the 0.618 Fib at $91.85.

A hold on either level would complete the abc pull back

I suspect the 0.618 Fib would be the level of interest as this would make it a 3 wave pull b...

$ZS

This has been slowly consolidating sideways since the start of 2024 but it is moving in the right direction I believe

Price is above the 50 and 200 Day MA and continues to make higher lows.

I also like how the pull back in Mid 2024 held support perfectly on the 0.618 Fib at $151 which is standard for a Wave 2 pull back.

A higher high next above $218 could trigger the price act...

$CHTR - WATCHLIST -

I have highlighted this company a few times now because I noticed a strong trend amongst superinvestors towards this stock, they have been accumulating here significantly over the last 2 years.

The technicals and fundamentals are both looking healthy and the price action is looking like breaking out of this bullish wedge shortly.

A break and hold above $388 would allow the share pri...

$LULU

$LULU double beat on earnings yesterday but they gave a bleak outlook, similar to that from $NKE and the share price is down -12% in the PM.

We can see that this brings the share price back down to the 0.618 Fib exactly now in the PM at $300.

I know many members will consider this a buy now but I suggest waiting for support confirmation over the next while before jumping in, the low...

$X - WATCHLIST -

I highlighted this chart last week because the price action was testing the wedge breakout level at $40, we have a clear breakout now and a retest of the $40 level too.

Price is up to $45 in the PM now after it was announced that the $X are negotiating with the Trump admin to push through the Nippon merger, as Nippon is proposing to boost investments in US Steel facilities.

When thi...

$SIRI - WATCHLIST -

I continue to like this position and it has still not broken out of its very steep and long descending wedge.

I do like the higher low hold on the 0.78 Fib at $21 and a bounce back up to the wedge breakout line again.

As always we want to see a breakout and hold above the wedge at $24.60 and then I would consider this a Buy.

Buffett has added heavy here and I believe he now ow...

$BIDU - WATCHLIST -

$BIDU has been a real winner for us this year as we balance our portfolio with hedges against US positions with undervalued stocks, safe havens and Chinese ADRS.

It has allowed our portfolio to withstand macro influences and still hold up very well

Some of our US positions are under pressure but I am happy that they are not overvalued right now and any US positions we did add lately...

SILVER - TOP 10 - SAFE HAVEN -

SIlver has made a higher high now and is now above the First Target which is at $33.60, price looks very close to testing $35 which would be a 13 year high.

I would like the First Target to be flipped to support next to solidify the First Target as a base and help propel Silver higher to the next target which is Wave 3 and the Second Target at $42.

For a safe haven, this has been fa...

$TGT - WATCHLIST -

$TGT continues to be on my radar and has so far identified that the blue line at $103 is a support level, we do have a higher low but no higher high just yet, this would come with a break above $108.8

I believe $TGT is both fundamentally and technically undervalued here too, so once support is confirmed and the start of a new impulse wave is formed then I believe this is a great opportuni...

$RLX - WATCHLIST -

Price action is now testing its standard pull back area now on the 200 Day MA and the 0.618 Fib, I would like to see a hold on this level now, a hold here and I would expect a reversal to the upside and up towards the First Target at $2.77.

This would also encourage me to add too.

Downside risk would be the 0.78 Fib at $1.76 and the worst case would be a fall down to the blue line a...

$OSCR - TOP 10 -

$OSCR has pulled back since hitting the 1.618 Fib and if this is the start of a new impulse wave then we could be seeing a leading edge diagonal forming here (lesson 4) which allows for waves to overlap.

We can see that the 0.618 Fib is at the 50 MA on the 1hr too at $13.30 so this is a confluence level we want to see held, losing this level then I will confirm that the impulse wave has b...

$SHOP TOP 20

Important test now for $SHOP, a retest of the wedge breakout level at $100, a hold here and this is a buy signal to catch the rest of the Wave 3 up to $159.

Those who added in the Buy Zone and want to add more should be watching for a hold at $100 next.

If $100 is not held then you must wait until support is found.

We have seen already how quickly this bounced out of the Buy ...

$KO - TOP 10 - SAFE HAVEN -

$KO chart moving perfectly here after finding support exactly on the 0.38 Fib for Wave 4 and now moving back up to the First Target again at $72.

All we want to see next is a hold of the $72 level for support and I believe we can confirm Wave 5 and a move up to the level and the Second Target at $77.

$ONON

We can see that the price action has been testing the 200 Day MA from below here which is also at the 0.38 Fib at $48.8, if a lower low is made below $43.50 then we can expect a move down to the standard pull back area on the 0.618 fib at $39.

I think holding at this price would be a great add for long term. Right now, we have a test of support on the 0.5 Fib but it is not confirmed yet, ...

$COHR - RC -

$COHR's chart is a common sight right now, an ABC pull back to the 0.618 Fib and $60 and holding, followed by a bounce over the last week or so and pulling back yesterday.

I have also added in the smaller green fib levels right now to show where a potential higher low can come in and as always, we look for support between the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib range between $66 - $68.

If a 3 wave abc ...

$BTC TOP 20

Interesting to see the strength of $BTC here relative to the US market. It is still holding above its 200 Day MA at $85.5k along with $AMZN too.

$BTC did front run the market by recapturing its 200 Day MA first and the $SPY followed

$BTC on the other hand does not have weakness from $NVDA to deal with it.

Will be interesting to see if $BTC can continue to hold above its 200 Da...

$SOFI

A lot of positions met resistance yesterday, typically at their 50 and 200 MA's, in $SOFI's case it found resistance at the 200 MA on the 1hr chart and has pulled back.

This could indicate that the first wave is complete since its bounce at $10.85.

So I have added in the green fib levels to show where an abc pull back can complete for a higher low next

With the target between ...

$VSCO - WATCHLIST -

We are watching for support now, price has dropped nicely to the 0.5 Fib at $19.45 yesterday and there is still a possibility that it can drop lower to the standard 0.618 fib at $18.68 too, as soon as support is found on either level this would be considered a buy and I would expect Wave 3 next to $29.43 at the 1.618 fib.

For now, the market is still under pressure so you must be greedy f...

$BABA TOP 10 & TOP 20

$BABA continues to consolidate sideways since the 20th of Feb in this channel and I believe this is understandable, considering how weak the US market has been and how aggressive $BABA has run from $80 to $145 in 1 month.

There is possible support at $126 on the bottom yellow line but I think $121 can come into play too and many members would be happy to add on this line too, especially t...

$HIMS

Strong pull back after testing the $38 level yesterday and not being able to flip this level to support, so we are watching for a higher low support now.

2 Days ago I said that we need to let the base of this Cup form and a V shaped recovery was not likely and we didn't need to see that either.

If we can consolidate sideways along the base of this Cup between $31 - $38 I will have n...

$NIO TOP 20

$NIO has just announced a new proposed offering of 118 Million shares, about 5% of its companies value, which explains why the share price is down -5.9% in the PM now.

The timing of this announcement on the same day Trump announces Tariffs on Automobiles made outside of the US but sold inside the US is intriguing and likely done deliberately, if the sector was going down anyway, they may ...

US 10 YR

The 10YR is not helping the US market either right now.

We can see from the chart that the price is clearly holding above the 200 Day MA, the wedge breakout level and has made a higher low and made a higher high now

If this was stock we like, we'd be buying it now!

If the 10 YR continues to move higher, this will put pressure on the market to get and stay above its 200 Day MA...

$SPY TOP 20

$SPY's first attempt at staying above the 200 Day MA at $574 has not been successful and the price action finished the day at $568, with an all round weak market today, lead by a -5.74% day from $NVDA.

There is no rejection at this level yet and it is worth considering that the 50 Weekly MA is at $565 right now too, which has not been tested or lost, as Vojtech has mentioned today.

...

$NVDA

Ok first attempt at breaking back into the wedge has not been successful.

We have a test, pull back, retest again and then a lower low....so this is not bearish right now.

I have added in the green fib levels to show where support can come for a higher low.

Holding above $111 will be needed now.

A 3 wave pull back to hold on $111 and the price action can make another att...

$XYZ

$XYZ is pulling back now and it is crucial that it holds for a higher low next, on the green Fib levels I have added

Failure to find support and $55 will be tested again with a risk of dropping deep into the Buy Zone and Bear Case.

I like $XYZ and Jack Dorsey but the chart has been struggling to find momentum since 2022, it is range bound so it is consolidating but we need to see st...

$OSCR - TOP 10 -

Ok this has really been textbook now from $OSCR.

For one clear reason I am getting excited:

The Subwave 3 hit the 1.618 Fib target exactly at $14 and now pulling back in 3 waves.

This is what we want to see from an impulse wave, now we want subwave 4 to hold between $13.50 and $14 and we can get a move up to the Subwave 5 target at the 2.618 Fib which is also at the wedge top ...

$PLTR TOP 20

For me there is still more in this bounce and I believe the price action can get in between the $99 - $105 range.

This has been a very standard bounce now since $74 to $96 and something we have been calling for since the decline began in the +$120's.

It is important therefore to watch for a rejection now in the amber range for Wave B to complete.

$HIMS

I spoke yesterday in the chat group that we have 4 waves now so far since bouncing at $31 and of course we want to see 5 waves to confirm an impulse wave.

So we are watching for a higher high above $38.67 and this will confirm the 5th wave.

This 5th Wave could also go as high as the 200 MA on the 1hr chart at $42 too.

After every 5 waves, we expect a 3 wave pull back and this ...

$AMD TOP 20

$AMD is approaching the 200 WMA now at $116 and got as high as $114.95 yesterday with a strong finish to the session.

There has only been one wave bounce since $94 to $114, so we will need to see if the price action has the legs now to burst through this important 200 WMA and convert it to support.

A lot will also depend on how $NVDA behaves trying to get back to its own 200 Day MA ...