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The Long Investor

The Long Investor

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$TEM - WATCHLIST -

$TEM - WATCHLIST -

$TEM went as low as $47 yesterday and came very close to testing the 0.78 Fib and the important blue support line at $44 before recovering to $52 to finish the session.

If you did not get a chance to add at $47, then recapturing the 50 Day MA and the 0.618 Fib at $54.60 and holding is looking like a very attractive buy entry to catch the reversal here.

I believe when the reversal is...

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$PSO

$PSO

Who is in here?

This chart has not changed in over a year now and it has been stunning and looks set to move to our Second Target and Wave 3 target next between $18-$19.

I believe Wave 5 can complete at the top blue line at $22.45

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$NIO TOP 20

$NIO TOP 20

The timing of $NIO's breakout last Thursday was unfortunate, the market turned very bearish and it is very difficult for a suppressed stock to start its bullish reversal when the overall market sells off unexpectedly like this.

And this is $NIO, it will always test your patience.

Price did drop back into the channel again but crucially held support again on the 0.887 Fib at $4.07, w...

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$HIMS

$HIMS

Bulls stepped in yesterday to save a higher low (just about) but also qualify as a double bottom now too.

Price was -10% at one stage and got as low at $36.81 and then recovered all losses and ran to $42.19

This was the one stock yesterday that was hitting my portfolio and to see it recover the way it did was very comforting, which is why I have a lot of confidence in this positions...

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$ETH

$ETH

$ETH holding on the 0.618 Fib at $2100 again and being under the 200 WMA as we lead into the White House Crypto Summit on Friday seems very odd to me to have this opportunity.

I can not talk about $ETH being an excellent opportunity under its 200 WMA enough and I have said it enough.

I have also bought every time $ETH has been below its 200 WMA so I stand by my strategy.

It is...

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SILVER - TOP 10 - SAFE HAVEN -

SILVER - TOP 10 - SAFE HAVEN -

Mr Reliable has done its job again.

Pulled back in between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fib range, where the 50 Day MA was waiting at $30.70 and has now bounced, I covered this a lot over the last few weeks to have us prepared, so those that needed to add to their safe haven could take advantage of this opportunity.....I can see from the group that many were talking about Silver and have bought, whi...

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$SOFI - WATCHLIST -

$SOFI - WATCHLIST -

I have added twice now to $SOFI between $13 - $14 and mainly due to the chart being very bullish and attractive, here are the facts:

  • Wave 2 held the 0.78 Fib after a long consolidation

  • Wave 3 responded aggressively after this consolidation and ran exactly to the 1.618 Fib at $18 which is perfect

  • Wave 4 pulled back in 3 waves, usually we look for the 0...

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$OSCR TOP 10

$OSCR TOP 10

$OSCR is now at the wedge breakout level at $15.75 in the PM now, there is no breakout just yet but it is very close and this is a test now.

$OSCR has been incredibly impressive all week and we really like how the abc pull back has moved exactly as projected and now back up to test the breakout level again.

The plan is still the same and it is clear:

  • A breakout of the ...

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$BTC TOP 20

$BTC TOP 20

Trump is hosting a Crypto Summit this Friday in the White House and it will be a Whos Who in attendance from the crypto world.

$BTC moved exactly with the US Market which should be no surprise to anyone in this group as it has been following the market for the last 2 years.

Price has tested its own 200 Day MA twice now over the last week and held twice, there was an overshoot on bot...

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$NVO - WATCHLIST -

$NVO - WATCHLIST -

The best low risk Wave B bounce for me right now is $NVO, by a long shot.

Held comfortably above the 200 WMA this week and the structure hardly moved in spite of the enormous pressure in the market.

I think this will be given the all clear next to move up to the Wave B range over the next few weeks and months between $114 - $122.

And this would be the worst case scenario, thi...

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$AMD TOP 20 - WATCHLIST -

$AMD TOP 20 - WATCHLIST -

My next Buy is likely going to be $AMD, I liked the flush down to $95 today, still short of the $91 level for a test but extremely sold off now, even on the weekly RSI indicator.

FWD PE of 16 now with a EPS growth of +33% for the next 5 years is something that is very difficult to ignore now

We already have a position but I think accumulating under the 200 WMA here makes a lot sens...

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$AMZN TOP 20

$AMZN TOP 20

$AMZN has one of the strongest growth trajectories of all of the Mega Caps and is back to its 200 Day MA

And some will be wondering how such a strong company can be in this undervalued position but this is how the market works, it is not rational in the short term and the price will always have a habit of resetting at important moving averages.

Price is at $200 now and losing t...

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$ABNB TOP 20

$ABNB TOP 20

The market makes a habit of giving us all a second chance, it's up to us whether or not we take advantage.

$ABNB is back in the Buy Zone and a test of the 50 and 200 Day MA looks next in between the 0.618 - 0.78 Fib range at $136.

A hold here and on the outside of the channel would not give me much concern and a reversal can still come here next

Remember $ABNB has not been fo...

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$ASTS

$ASTS

Has performed very well today and up +5% today for a difficult day in the market.

Earnings report is now out of the way yesterday and another PT has been issued at $30 today.

In terms of the chart, we have a very nice pull back to the strong confluence level on the blue line and 0.5 Fib that we have been talking about for some time now.

The market I believe is due a bounce sho...

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$PLTR TOP 20

$PLTR TOP 20

$PLTR is battling to hold $79 and to be fair, a lot of stocks are doing their best to hold their respective support lines right now so I am not targeting $PLTR here

But if the $79 level does not hold then I believe Wave A is still active and the next support level to watch for will be the 0.5 Fib at $65.

We can see on the chart that the price action has also rejected under the 50 ...

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$TSLA TOP 20

$TSLA TOP 20

$TSLA is now one of the first casualties to join $MSFT, the price has now dipped below the 0.618 Fib and 200 Day MA so the impulse wave can not be valid in its form.

This is why we have been interested in $TSLA but have insisted that support must hold before considering a position.

If the 200 Day MA can not be recaptured shortly and there is a rejection from below at $274, then the ...

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$BABA TOP 20 & TOP 10

$BABA TOP 20 & TOP 10

We are getting our 3 wave pull back now and the price does look set to test the blue line and the 0.38 Fib next at $121, this is where I believe many people are waiting for a test and hold of support. A hold here and we can add to catch the rest of Wave 3 higher.

However the Buy Zone is between the 0.5 Fib and 0.618 Fib which would be the standard pull back zone to be adding, so let's be ...

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$SE TOP 20 - ER JUST OUT -

$SE TOP 20 - ER JUST OUT -

$SE is up +10% now in the PM after smashing their Revenue estimates, $4.65B est v $4.98 actual.

This brings the price action back up to the blue line again and I suspect $SE will have no issue making a higher higher and going to our Wave 5 level at $145 at the 3.618 Fib

The extremely bullish move would be a run to the 4.618 Fib at $170

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TWEET

TWEET

Daily RSI for the MEGA CAPS:
$NVDA 35
$TSLA 26
$AMZN 29
2025-03-04 11:58:47 +0000 UTC View Post

$ONON - JUST REPORTED -

$ONON - JUST REPORTED -

ER is just out and it is their first beat since May '24 and they beat EPS estimates by a whopping +80% and the market is really liking it so far and up +9% in the PM now which is a very bright spark amongst a confused PM right now for the market.

We can see on the weekly chart here that there was been a pull back to the 0.38 Fib and just above the 50 WMA and now bouncing, any rejection at...

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$NVDA

$NVDA

$NVDA did a lot of the damage to the market yesterday as it pulled back -8.69%, wiping out over $230 Billion in Market Cap in one session.

Losing the support line that has been in place since April is a sign of weakness and the price is currently battling to hold the 0.618 Fib at $114 too.

A flush down to $104 is still possible and can still keep this Wave 5 valid as an ending dia...

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$SOFI

$SOFI

Just finished slightly below the 0.38 Fib yesterday and this happened last week too and the level was recaptured, if we see a rejection at the $13.67 level then a test of the 0.5 Fib at $12.20 is likely next which is no issue for a Wave 4 pull back, certainly if the market has had a weak week.

What we don't want to see is an infringement below the green line at $11.70, which would invalid...

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$BIDU

$BIDU

Chinese ADRs are green across the board today, as the market quite rightly understands that the market has been anticipating these tariffs and China is more than capable of countering with little to no effect on the Chinese Economy.

Price action here is again sitting on the 0.618 Fib, as it is with $HIMS and tested the green support line yesterday and held.

Wave 3 is aligning with t...

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$HIMS

$HIMS

Yesterday's market started off quite optimistic and $HIMS ran to the Red 0.38 Fib at $46 and we were looking set to challenge this level for support.....and then the Tariff concerns started rolling in and the market showed enormous selling pressure very quickly.

Unfortunately this caused a rejection at the $46 level and a retest of lower fib levels were needed, the price managed to hold o...

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$QQQ TOP 20

$QQQ TOP 20

Market is getting hit hard now, so let's refer back to the chart.

Tech sector particularly seems to be doing the most damage with this flush down so observing the $QQQ chart makes the most sense now

We can see that there is a test of the 0.5 Fib at $494 now and we will likely finish the session on this support level with 20 mins to go

Just slightly below is the 200 Day MA at ...

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$DELL

$DELL

The last chance I can give $DELL holding support is on the 0.5 Fib at $96, otherwise I believe there is a drop down to the 0.618 Fib at $76 over the next few weeks and the 200 WMA will meet the price action at this point.

Providing an attractive buying opportunity on this level at $76.

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$NVDA

$NVDA

Back to the trend support line that held on the 3rd of Feb at $113 and then rann to the $141 line.

This is where the bulls need to step in again now and do the same thing again.

The 0.618 Fib is just slightly below at $114 to offer support too.

The rejection at $141 does not look great but similarly we still have a higher low so far, right now a sideways movement in the triang...

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$DXY

$DXY

$DXY is down nearly -1% today which is good news for US equities, in spite of the market being flat right now, $NVDA has been hurting the market a bit today.

I believe the $DXY will continue moving down and like the US 10 YR, we want to see a retest of the 200 Day MA at $105 next at the 0.5 Fib and see this level lost

This combined with the US 10 YR declining is bullish (in the shor...

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US 10 YR

US 10 YR

Ok so far so good for the market, PA has fallen back into the large wedge and has lost the 200 Day MA....these two were certainly important support levels that we wanted to see lost

Price is still at the 0.5 Fib now at 4.2% and the next support level will be the 0.618 Fib at 4.06%.....we want both of these levels to be lost and the market will really enjoy this and move higher....especial...

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$PLTR TOP 20

$PLTR TOP 20

$PLTR got that support it needed on the 0.38 Fib at $79 and has now bounced and even reached $90 today.

The amber range is still the bounce level for me which I believe is Wave B, followed by a further decline to complete Wave C to $65 or lower.

Others may feel this is Wave 5 now and it can go higher and go beyond $125, this is their opinion and I can only share my count which I bel...

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