TheMalcontent

Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 21 JAN 2024 23:59* PST - Russia Claims Ukraine Attacks Occupied Donetsk Civilians

Added 2024-01-22 11:03:03 +0000 UTC

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SITREP 585 is 58 pages and combat only!

What's Happening

What's the big story? Russia claims a Ukrainian attack on the occupied city of Donetsk killed 28 and wounded 30. But did it? We provide a very in-depth and technical analysis.

What's the second story? Ukraine has a new drone, and it's becoming a big problem for Russia

Bonus Story: Russia took advantage of improved weather and made several tactically significant advances as Ukraine struggles with personnel and ammunition shortages.

Summary

There are map updates
There are assessment updates
There are rumor updates
Fighting continued in the Kupyansk AO
In the Svatove AO, Russian forces captured the village of Krokhmalne, Kharkiv
Heavy fighting continued in the Kreminna AO
In the Lysychansk AO, Russian forces suffered catastrophic losses attempting to advance on Bilohorivka
the PMC Wagner mercenaries who broke up a drug trafficking ring on their own have been arrested
In the Soledar AO, there is no evidence that Russia captured Vesele
Fighting continued in the Bakhmut AO
Russian forces made tactically significant gains between Ivanivkse and Klishchiivka
Fighting continued in the Klischchiivka AO
Fighting continued on the north flank of the Avdiivka AO
East of Advdiivka, Ukrainian forces are closer to Kruta Balka than originally assessed, and the map was adjusted
Reports of fighting west of the Avdiivka industrial district continued without evidence
Russian forces advanced to 2 kilometers from Spartak into the southern part of Avdiivka
Fighting continued in the Marinka AO
Fighting continued in the Vuhledar AO
In the Vuhledar AO, the VKS bombed Vodyane
Russian state media and officials claim Ukraine attacked the shopping district of the Kirovsky District of Donetsk, killing 28 and wounding 23
Our in-depth analysis of the attack based on extensive open-source evidence indicates it is very unlikely Ukraine did the attack
Fuel depots and power infrastructure in occupied Donetsk and Makiivka were attacked, causing extensive damage
Fighting continued in the Orikhiv AO
Russian milbloggers report that Ukrainian drones have increased in range and improved resistance to EW
The IAEA provided an update to the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, and it is alarming
Fighting continued in the Kherson AO
Another Russian unit appealed to Moscow to be relieved
Russian units in the Kherson AO are faking attacks
The Black Sea Fleet has missile carriers on patrol
RMOD claims that missiles launched at occupied Sevastopol were intercepted
A gunpowder factory in Tambov, Russia, was hit by a Ukrainian one-way drone
A military-industrial plant in Tula, Russia, was hit by a Ukrainian one-way drone
The Ust-Luga Oil Terminal in St. Petersburg, Russia, was hit by Ukrainian one-way drones, knocking the entire facility offline
Ukraine has a new one-way drone, and it is very capable
Russian air defenses in the Leningrad Region are stretched thin
Russian attacked Ukraine with eight Iranian-sourced Shahed-136 one-way drones, and they were all shot down
The Ukrainian Armed Forces crossed the grim milestone of 5,000 pieces of heavy equipment destroyed, damaged, abandoned, or captured since February 24, 2022

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